December 6, 2025
Mohammad Vaghefi

Mohammad Vaghefi

Academic Rank: Professor
Address:
Degree: Ph.D in Hydraulic Structures
Phone: 077-31342401
Faculty: Faculty of Engineering

Research

Title Predicting scour depth in the presence of aprons using XGBoost-Optuna
Type Article
Keywords
Apron Length Bayesian Optimized Neural Network Natural Hazards Piano Key Weir Scouring XGBoost-Optuna
Journal APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2025.113766
Researchers Choonor Abdi Choplou (First researcher) , Saeed Balahang (Second researcher) , Masoud Ghodsian (Third researcher) , Mohammad Vaghefi (Fourth researcher)

Abstract

This paper explores the impact of an apron in mitigating scour downstream of a trapezoidal PK weir through an experimental study. Three apron lengths were tested with two sediment types under varying hydraulic conditions to address local scouring. Results show that longer aprons reduce scouring, especially at lower densimetric Froude numbers, affecting the location of the maximum scour depth and its volume. On average, apron lengths of 1 P, 1.5 P, and 2 P (P is weir height) decrease the scour hole areas and volumes by approximately 69–77 %. Scour indices decrease by 73–90 % for corresponding apron lengths. New empirical equations have been proposed to aid in apron design, and the estimation of various scour hole geometries. Bayesian Optimized Neural Network (BONN), Extreme Gradient Boosting model tuned by Optuna algorithm (XGBoost-Optuna), and Random Forest were also developed for forecasting scour hole characteristics in the presence of apron. Various regression tests, including residual plots and uncertainty quantification, were imposed to compare the models. The results demonstrated that the XGBoost-Optuna model outperformed the other models, achieving a correlation coefficient ranging from 0.924 to 0.985, a root mean squared error between 0.055 and 5.072, and a mean relative percentage error of 7.14–11.71 %. Most forecasts generated by the XGBoost-Optuna model fell within ±20 % error margins, highlighting its superiority in predicting scour hole characteristics in the presence of the apron for PK weirs.