02 دی 1403
ابوذر بازياري

ابوذر بازیاری

مرتبه علمی: استادیار
نشانی: دانشکده مهندسی سیستم های هوشمند و علوم داده - گروه آمار
تحصیلات: دکترای تخصصی / آمار
تلفن: -
دانشکده: دانشکده مهندسی سیستم های هوشمند و علوم داده

مشخصات پژوهش

عنوان On the ruin probabilities for a general perturbed renewal risk process
نوع پژوهش مقالات در نشریات
کلیدواژه‌ها
Asymptotic approximation Brownian perturbation Log–logistic distribution Martingale method Pareto Distribution Ruin probability
مجله JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE
شناسه DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2023.02.005
پژوهشگران ابوذر بازیاری (نفر اول)

چکیده

This paper studies the ruin probabilities in a homogeneous continuous compound Poisson risk model which is adapted for the perturbed insurance risk model with standard Brownian motion. In such a model, we construct a martingale in terms of a differentiable exponential function based on the discounted and perturbed surplus process. We obtain the exponential upper bounds for the ruin probabilities using Martingale approach and provide a sharper exponential upper bound for the infinite time ruin probability. Moreover, we derive two asymptotic approximation formulas for the finite time ruin probability when claim size distribution belongs to some heavy-tailed families. Finally, several numerical examples are presented to show the effect of constant force of interest on the ruin probabilities and that our results are excellent and reliable.