02 دی 1403
ابوذر بازياري

ابوذر بازیاری

مرتبه علمی: استادیار
نشانی: دانشکده مهندسی سیستم های هوشمند و علوم داده - گروه آمار
تحصیلات: دکترای تخصصی / آمار
تلفن: -
دانشکده: دانشکده مهندسی سیستم های هوشمند و علوم داده

مشخصات پژوهش

عنوان Ruin probabilities in a discrete-time risk process with homogeneous markov chain
نوع پژوهش مقالات در نشریات
کلیدواژه‌ها
Discrete-time risk model; Homogeneous Markov chain; Ruin probability; Stationary distribution; Transition probability matrix
مجله Journal of Statistical Modelling: Theory and Applications
شناسه DOI 10.22034/jsmta.2023.19435.1080
پژوهشگران ابوذر بازیاری (نفر اول)

چکیده

The present paper considers a discrete-time risk model with a homogeneous, irreducible, and aperiodic Markov chain. The general distribution of total claim amounts is influenced by the environmental Markov chain and in the i-th period the individual claim sizes are conditionally independent. We obtain the recursive formulae for infinite time ruin probability using the technique of ordinary generating functions. In addition, we give some restrictions which under those the ruin will not happen. In the last part, we present some numerical illustrations for the results and give the prac- tical problem through a fully developed case study in the domain of social insurance.