02 دی 1403
ابوذر بازياري

ابوذر بازیاری

مرتبه علمی: استادیار
نشانی: دانشکده مهندسی سیستم های هوشمند و علوم داده - گروه آمار
تحصیلات: دکترای تخصصی / آمار
تلفن: -
دانشکده: دانشکده مهندسی سیستم های هوشمند و علوم داده

مشخصات پژوهش

عنوان Ruin Probabilities for Two Risk Models with Asymptotically Independent and Dependent Classes
نوع پژوهش مقالات در نشریات
کلیدواژه‌ها
Classical risk model Dependence structure Fourier transform method Heavy-tailed distribution Ruin probability
مجله JIRSS-JOURNAL OF THE IRANIAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY
شناسه DOI
پژوهشگران ابوذر بازیاری (نفر اول)

چکیده

This paper presents two new insurance risk models for analyzing the ruin probabilities. Firstly, we restrict ourselves to the classical risk model contains heavy-tailed distribution of individual net losses and changeable premium income rates. Under certain technical assumptions, some asymptotic expansions and recursive formulas are obtained for the ruin probabilities. In the second risk model, we assume that the different classes of the portfolio business are dependent and compute the finite time ruin probability based on the discretization of the distribution function. We present some numerical examples in the portfolio of business and show that the value of ruin probability increases as dependence level increases. Moreover, the sensitivity of the results are investigated with respect to the parameters of Weibull and Exponential distributions.