November 16, 2024
Mahmoud Afshari

Mahmoud Afshari

Academic Rank: Associate professor
Address: Mahmoud Afshari, Associate Professor. Department of Statistics, College of science Persian Gulf University, 7516913798, Iran E-mail:afshar.5050@gmail.com or afshar@pgu.ac.ir TEL:00989177125766
Degree: Ph.D in statistics
Phone: 07731223328
Faculty: Faculty of Intelligent Systems and Data Science

Research

Title
Computation of Infinite Time Ruin Probability in the Individual Risk Model Using Random Walks
Type Presentation
Keywords
Infinite Time Ruin Probability, Individual Risk Model, Random Walk
Researchers Abouzar Bazyari (First researcher) , Mahmoud Afshari (Second researcher) ,

Abstract

In the individual risk model, the total claims on a portfolio of insurance contracts is the random variable of interest. The paper studies an individual risk model of insurance policy with dependence structure between claim sizes and occurrence times. The Exponential estimate of infinite time ruin prob- ability with large initial capital is computed using the random walk, Blackwell's renewal theorem and copula function when the claim sizes are distributed as light tailed distribution. An example is presented and computed the values of ruin probabilities.