The present study aimed to analyze the effect of energy price volatility on the export
competitiveness of Iranian industries and to examine the mediating roles of production cost
pressure and pricing flexibility in this relationship. The study was conducted using an applied,
quantitative, descriptive-correlational design with a structural equation modeling approach.
The statistical population consisted of managers, export specialists, financial experts,
production supervisors, and strategic planning professionals working in export-oriented
industrial firms located in Tehran. Using purposive sampling and inclusion criteria related to
professional experience and familiarity with export activities, 312 participants were selected
as the final sample. Data were collected using a researcher-developed questionnaire and a
secondary-data checklist related to energy prices, industrial costs, and export indicators. The
questionnaire assessed energy price volatility, production cost pressure, pricing flexibility,
export competitiveness, export market stability, and vulnerability to external shocks using a
five-point Likert scale. Content validity was confirmed by experts in industrial economics and
international trade, while reliability was verified through Cronbach’s alpha coefficients above
0.70. Data analysis was performed using SPSS-27 and AMOS software through descriptive
statistics, Pearson correlation analysis, multiple regression analysis, confirmatory factor
analysis, and structural equation modeling. The findings indicated that energy price volatility
had a significant negative relationship with export competitiveness (r = -0.68, p < 0.01) and
pricing flexibility (r = -0.52, p < 0.01), while showing a significant positive relationship with
production cost pressure (r = 0.71, p < 0.01) and vulnerability to external shocks (r = 0.77, p
< 0.01). Multiple regression analysis demonstrated that energy price volatility significantly
predicted export competitiveness (β = -0.3